GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Uribelarrea are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Alumni Los Hornos are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Uribelarrea hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UribelarreaWWDWL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Alumni Los HornosLLLLD

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
UribelarreaAlumni Los Hornos
30.6Attack38.5
75.0Defence56.4
52.8Form35.9
55.4Power44.6
0.89xG0.51
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