GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Urawa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

12.2%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UrawaLDWLL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima
100.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
32.0Power97.0
1.32xG1.70
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