Urawavs
Mito Hollyhock
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 3/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Urawa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mito Hollyhock hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the J1 League, while Urawa holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40