GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Urawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 71.2-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UrawaDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Machida ZelviaLWWDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UrawaMachida Zelvia
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
24.7Power95.8
1.24xG1.87
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