UrawavsFagiano Okayama

Urawa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fagiano Okayama hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (24.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.