Uralvs
Torpedo Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ural are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Torpedo Moskva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the First League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20