Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ural are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC UFA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the First League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80