Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ural are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Enisey are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the First League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60