Uralvs
Chelyabinsk
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ural are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chelyabinsk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelyabinsk hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80