GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 6/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ural II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Orenburg II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ural IIWWLLD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orenburg IILDWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ural IIOrenburg II
51.7Attack46.7
31.7Defence46.7
31.7Form38.3
39.2Power45.1
1.74xG1.78
View match centre →