Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ural II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Nosta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural II hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.7% in the Second League - Group 4, while Ural II holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural II
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
Ural II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40