Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Izhevsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ural II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Izhevsk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Izhevsk hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Second League - Group 4, while Izhevsk holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Izhevsk
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Izhevsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60