Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNSW · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
UNSW are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sydney II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney II hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the New South Wales NPL, while UNSW holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UNSW
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
UNSW has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40