UNSWvs
St. George Saints
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 6/13/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNSW · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
UNSW are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while St. George Saints are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and UNSW hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the New South Wales NPL, while UNSW holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UNSW
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
UNSW has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00