UNSWvs
SD Raiders
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 2/21/2026, 6:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNSW · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
UNSW are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SD Raiders are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SD Raiders hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the New South Wales NPL, while UNSW holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UNSW
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
UNSW has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20