UNSWvs
NWS Spirit
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 7/18/2026, 7:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNSW · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UNSW are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and NWS Spirit hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the New South Wales NPL, while UNSW holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UNSW
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
UNSW has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60