GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/11/2026, 7:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

UNSW are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

9.8%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UNSWLWWLD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UNSWAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
46.9Attack73.8
44.4Defence60.7
38.3Form76.2
44.3Power71.6
1.10xG2.47
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