GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 8/16/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

UNSAAC W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Alianza Lima W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima W hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (24.6 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Liga Women, while Alianza Lima W holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima W

Probability

93.0%

Model confidence

15.6%

Alianza Lima W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UNSAAC WLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza Lima WWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
UNSAAC WAlianza Lima W
23.8Attack94.1
23.8Defence78.4
16.7Form74.5
24.6Power76.4
0.55xG4.50
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