University of TasmaniavsNew Town

University of Tasmania are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while New Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (27.9 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.