Universitatea CraiovavsPetrolul Ploiesti

Universitatea Craiova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Petrolul Ploiesti are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitatea Craiova hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Liga I, while Universitatea Craiova holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.