Universitariovs
UTC
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 3/15/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universitario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UTC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20