Universitariovs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/8/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Universitario are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and universitario hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 13.1% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.6%
Model confidence
13.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60