GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universitario are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Cajamarca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UniversitarioDWDWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC CajamarcaWLDDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UniversitarioFC Cajamarca
46.0Attack47.6
68.3Defence42.9
57.1Form33.3
58.7Power43.3
1.77xG0.79
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