GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universitario are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UniversitarioLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FBC MelgarWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UniversitarioFBC Melgar
22.2Attack0.0
77.8Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
48.3Power23.7
1.67xG1.22
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