GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 7/25/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cusco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UniversitarioWWDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CuscoWLLDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UniversitarioCusco
46.0Attack50.0
68.3Defence53.0
57.1Form54.5
58.7Power53.1
1.41xG0.86
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