Universitariovs
Cusco
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 7/25/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cusco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60