GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Universitario are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UniversitarioDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico GrauLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
46.0Attack24.2
68.3Defence66.7
57.1Form34.8
58.7Power44.0
1.03xG0.43
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