Universitariovs
ADT
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 2/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universitario are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ADT are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00