GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 6/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aurora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Universitario de Vinto are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aurora are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aurora hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Primera División, while Aurora holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aurora

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universitario de VintoWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AuroraWDWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Universitario de VintoAurora
37.8Attack54.8
31.1Defence54.8
24.4Form52.4
33.0Power55.9
1.04xG2.23
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