GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Universidad de Concepcion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union La Calera are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union La Calera hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ConcepcionDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Union La CaleraLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Universidad de ConcepcionUnion La Calera
24.1Attack37.0
44.4Defence44.4
35.2Form35.2
37.7Power40.8
0.94xG1.14
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