Universidad de ConcepcionvsD. La Serena

Universidad de Concepcion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while D. La Serena are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and D. La Serena hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Primera División, while D. La Serena holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.