GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Concepción · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Universidad de Concepcion are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concepción are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Concepción hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Primera División, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Concepción

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Concepción has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ConcepcionLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
ConcepciónLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad de ConcepcionConcepción
24.1Attack37.0
44.4Defence57.4
35.2Form42.6
37.7Power47.4
0.70xG1.16
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