Chile · Primera División · 3/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universidad de Chile are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universidad de Concepcion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad de Chile hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.7% in the Primera División, while Universidad de Chile holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad de Chile
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
21.7%
Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60