GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad de Chile are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Palestino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad de Chile hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Primera División, while Universidad de Chile holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad de Chile

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

16.6%

Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ChileWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PalestinoWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Universidad de ChilePalestino
41.2Attack49.0
78.4Defence52.9
58.8Form52.9
61.0Power52.8
1.27xG0.69
View match centre →