GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 4/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad de Chile are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while D. La Serena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad de Chile hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Primera División, while Universidad de Chile holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad de Chile

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad de ChileWDLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
D. La SerenaDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad de ChileD. La Serena
42.6Attack49.1
77.8Defence45.6
61.1Form40.4
62.1Power46.2
1.56xG0.68
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