GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/1/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

63.6%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaDWWWL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tecnico UniversitarioWLLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad CatolicaTecnico Universitario
54.2Attack27.8
70.8Defence55.6
54.2Form36.1
59.5Power41.6
1.62xG0.42
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