Universidad Catolicavs
Macara
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 4/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Universidad Catolica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Macara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00