GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Libertad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LibertadLDDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Universidad CatolicaLibertad
54.2Attack36.1
70.8Defence62.5
54.2Form45.8
59.5Power50.3
1.34xG0.56
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