GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/13/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Juventud are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

13.8%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaWLLLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
JuventudLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad CatolicaJuventud
66.7Attack44.4
33.3Defence55.6
50.0Form44.4
53.0Power51.1
1.41xG1.19
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