Universidad Catolicavs
Guayaquil City FC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 4/4/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Universidad Catolica are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Guayaquil City FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.4% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
22.4%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40