GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/4/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Guayaquil City FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.4% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

22.4%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guayaquil City FCDWDLD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Universidad CatolicaGuayaquil City FC
54.2Attack27.8
70.8Defence65.3
54.2Form40.3
59.5Power47.1
1.25xG0.43
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