GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/17/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Universidad Catolica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Cuenca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Universidad CatolicaDWDLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CuencaDWWWL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad CatolicaDeportivo Cuenca
54.2Attack30.6
70.8Defence58.3
54.2Form43.1
59.5Power46.7
1.50xG0.47
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