Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Measurers are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Measurers hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40