GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

United of Manchester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

United of Manchester are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Leek Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leek Town hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while United of Manchester holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

United of Manchester

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

13.4%

United of Manchester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

United of ManchesterLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Leek TownLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
United of ManchesterLeek Town
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power23.7
1.41xG1.34
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