United of Manchestervs
Gainsborough Trinity
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gainsborough Trinity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
United of Manchester are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gainsborough Trinity are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gainsborough Trinity hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Gainsborough Trinity holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gainsborough Trinity
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
13.2%
Gainsborough Trinity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40