GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gainsborough Trinity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

United of Manchester are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gainsborough Trinity are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gainsborough Trinity hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Gainsborough Trinity holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gainsborough Trinity

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

13.2%

Gainsborough Trinity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

United of ManchesterDLLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gainsborough TrinityLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
United of ManchesterGainsborough Trinity
16.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence66.7
16.7Form50.0
26.2Power56.2
1.20xG1.54
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