GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union St. Gilloise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Union St. Gilloise are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lille are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (78.9 v 61.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union St. Gilloise

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union St. GilloiseWLWWW

GF 20 · GA 8 · avg 4.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
LilleWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Union St. GilloiseLille
100.0Attack86.7
62.5Defence46.7
83.3Form53.3
78.9Power61.3
3.01xG1.51
View match centre →