GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union St. Gilloise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Union St. Gilloise are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aarhus are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (78.9 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union St. Gilloise

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

10.8%

Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union St. GilloiseWWWDL

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
AarhusWDWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union St. GilloiseAarhus
100.0Attack57.8
62.5Defence64.4
83.3Form53.3
78.9Power58.6
2.02xG1.24
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