GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Union Santa Fe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Santa Fe hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Union Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Santa Fe

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

13.5%

Union Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union Santa FeLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Newells Old BoysDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys
47.0Attack31.7
54.5Defence46.7
42.4Form31.7
49.5Power39.1
1.67xG0.77
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