Union Santa Fevs
Newells Old Boys
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Santa Fe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Santa Fe hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Union Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Santa Fe
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
Union Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60