GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 4/25/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Magallanes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Union San Felipe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Magallanes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Magallanes hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Primera B, while Magallanes holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Magallanes

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

11.3%

Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union San FelipeWDLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MagallanesLDWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Union San FelipeMagallanes
26.3Attack57.4
40.4Defence42.6
35.1Form51.9
36.4Power53.6
0.92xG1.96
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