GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Naples are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

13.8%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union OmahaWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NaplesWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaNaples
56.7Attack36.8
63.3Defence45.6
68.3Form35.1
64.7Power41.5
2.14xG0.69
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