Union Omahavs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Omaha · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Union Omaha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.6% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Omaha
Probability
68.6%
Model confidence
68.6%
Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00