Union Magdalenavs
Real Cartagena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 5/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Magdalena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Magdalena
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00