GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 5/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Union Magdalena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union MagdalenaLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real CartagenaWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union MagdalenaReal Cartagena
50.7Attack51.3
71.0Defence62.8
60.9Form56.4
62.0Power57.8
1.23xG0.80
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